(Juhi Aishwary, Journalist)
New Delhi COVID-19: Good and bad figures are coming out in the country among cases of fast-growing infection of the coronavirus. If we look at these figures, we will find those things are completely bad and not completely good. 50 percent of the country has succeeded in slowing down the epidemic. At the same time, the bad news is that some big states which contribute most to the GDP of the country are most vulnerable. From the perspective of data, we know where the silver lining comes from and where this crisis breaks expectations.
Good news: Covid-19 crisis is slowing in 50 percent of the country. Cases of infection are decreasing in these areas. The rate of increase of infection in this region is three and a half times less than the other 50 percent of the country. In terms of the number of cases, the shares of seven major states of the country were the highest. These include the seven states of the country Maharashtra, Gujarat, Delhi, Tamil Nadu, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Madhya Pradesh. If the share of these states is reduced in the total corona infected cases of the country, then only 18 percent of cases are living in other parts of the country.
Bad news: Seven big states of the country which is 47 percent of India, 50 percent population of the country lives here. The number of infected cases in these states has almost doubled. A few days ago during Lockdown 1, it was just 49 percent, which has now increased to around 82 percent. About half of the total cases, 44 percent, are from only two western states. These states are Maharashtra and Gujarat. These two states account for about 60 percent of the total deaths due to the coronavirus in the country.
Although, some activities have been relaxed with increasing the lockdown. Nevertheless, it is being argued about the adverse effect on the economy that further restrictions should be relaxed. Instead of declaring the entire district as a red zone or containment zone, restrictions should be applied only in those places where the number of cases of corona infection is high.
The Worst case: These big seven states of the country also contribute significantly to the country’s economy. Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra, Gujarat, and Uttar Pradesh are the four largest industrial states in the country. The lockdown has badly affected the economy of these states. Delhi, where 4,602 people have been screened per million people, has suffered the most damage to GDP.
Most of the new cases are coming out of hot spots, so we should focus our attention on such places.